Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 4.203869 4.649785 5.125482 5.671186 6.280496 6.940556 7.710648
2026-01-11 3.443381 4.052648 4.747400 5.600308 6.622001 7.810029 9.301225
2026-01-18 2.893884 3.585205 4.418358 5.501022 6.877507 8.578042 10.851866
2026-01-25 2.486268 3.216658 4.139188 5.397783 7.082316 9.276078 12.377057
2026-02-01 2.175165 2.921398 3.903026 5.300340 7.256915 9.926698 13.892588
2026-02-08 1.928805 2.677097 3.697344 5.205420 7.404009 10.532614 15.393906
2026-02-15 1.745560 2.495750 3.552315 5.168631 7.613724 11.230324 17.089479
2026-02-22 1.634336 2.402638 3.518210 5.281073 8.043130 12.282337 19.431556
2026-03-01 1.503216 2.265523 3.403054 5.253930 8.247517 12.999196 21.312840
2026-03-08 1.360743 2.096955 3.222808 5.103571 8.234262 13.357876 22.628928
2026-03-15 1.260237 1.983974 3.117136 5.058847 8.382371 13.985951 24.464919
2026-03-22 1.203177 1.934617 3.106933 5.167280 8.793642 15.093558 27.273326
2026-03-29 1.145742 1.881411 3.088302 5.263885 9.201939 16.253148 30.353624
2026-04-05 1.078867 1.806868 3.027618 5.281456 9.470944 17.191028 33.135825
2026-04-12 1.006379 1.716676 2.932308 5.227513 9.601677 17.883569 35.520691
2026-04-19 0.937013 1.626266 2.828873 5.148236 9.674705 18.469957 37.759544
2026-04-26 0.873613 1.541431 2.728288 5.064285 9.728412 19.020356 39.988207
2026-05-03 0.815757 1.462171 2.631387 4.977969 9.767212 19.541357 42.215394
2026-05-10 0.770148 1.402039 2.565062 4.944825 9.909115 20.287669 45.041046
2026-05-17 0.746123 1.380543 2.569705 5.052919 10.353711 21.721924 49.646801
2026-05-24 0.707729 1.328646 2.511645 5.027485 10.510504 22.543650 52.903685
2026-05-31 0.658954 1.253116 2.401677 4.884338 10.396329 22.745646 54.663457
2026-06-07 0.625060 1.204589 2.341805 4.841790 10.500397 23.454644 57.792358